Where the smartest analysts agree, where they disagree, and what the Western framework keeps missing about Tehran — week by week.
Twelve days of war proved the network can be degraded. Whether it crumbled or phase-shifted is the question dividing every credible voice.
Two new structural assessments published this week argue the axis phase-shifted, not crumbled. The fight is over what 'degraded' actually means.
The week's piece, plus a short newsletter that points to it. Only this topic.
The analysts who recur in our coverage of Iran–US. Click any voice for credentials, sources we read of theirs, and where to follow them.
Every Tuesday's piece on Iran–US since October 2025. Each one is self-contained — you don't need to have read the others.
Nasr's structural read versus Sadjadpour's establishment read — and where, against expectations, they actually disagree.
Vaez's ICG briefing on the Hezbollah-IRGC rebuild + Maloney's Brookings response on the leverage Washington gave up by not asking it first.
Sadjadpour's Khamenei monograph re-read against Parsi's decision-loop framework. Two careful analysts, one quiet methodological disagreement.
Vaez and Abrahamian on why the 2024 reformist re-entry failed — and what the Persian-language press has been saying about it since.
What Tehran read in the executive order, line by line — Toossi reading Persian-language commentary alongside Parsi reading American policy intent.